Will the U.S. move to revoke Ilhan Omar's citizenship this year?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 15:15:04 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (21.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Yes21.0%21.0¢79.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

If the U.S. government sues Ilhan Omar to revoke her U.S. citizenship before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. A lawsuit or some other formal adversarial legal process (such as pre-complaint discovery or an arbitration claim) is encompassed by the Payout Criterion. The following also count: A federal criminal charge for unlawfully procuring her naturalization or citizenship, including a false statement made to obtain it (such as under 18 U.S.C. 1425), or a conspiracy to do so A USCIS or DHS notice of intent to cancel her certificate of citizenship, certificate of naturalization, or another citizenship document or record (8 U.S.C. 1453) A removal, civil or immigration-court proceeding brought by the U.S. government asserting that she is not a U.S. citizen The following do NOT count: Public statements or announcements of intent Search warrants, grand jury subpoenas, target letters and seizures of property The opening or continuation of an investigation Passport actions Proceedings Omar brings, even if the government contests her citizenship in them Other criminal charges, including charges for later claims of citizenship such as passport or voting statements

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