Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor?
As of Tue, 22 Sep 2026 23:06:21 UTC, Kalshi traders price Keith Sonderling (98.0%), Patrick Pizzella (3.0%), Riley Moore (3.0%). The market has $85K in volume and closes on Sat, 20 Jan 2029.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Sonderling | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| Patrick Pizzella | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Riley Moore | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Andrew Puzder | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Rosario Palmieri | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Jonathan Berry | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Sean O'Brien | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Ron DeSantis | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Brandon Williams | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Johnny C. Taylor Jr. | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Vince Micone | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Eugene Scalia | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Daniel Aronowitz | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Andrew Rogers | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Bryan Slater | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $85K
- Liquidity: $85K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Keith Sonderling:
If the first new person to be Secretary of Labor is Keith Sonderling before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Acting and Interim holders of the office are not included in the Payout Criterion. Persons confirmed by the Senate to be that position, or appointed via a “recess appointment” are included, even if that recess appointment is later struck down as illegal.
Sources
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