Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?

As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 20:59:21 UTC, Kalshi traders price NONE (41.0%), Dan Driscoll (20.0%), Joni Ernst (6.0%). The market has $41K in volume and closes on Sat, 20 Jan 2029.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
NONE41.0%41.0¢59.0¢
Dan Driscoll20.0%20.0¢80.0¢
Joni Ernst6.0%6.0¢94.0¢
Ron DeSantis6.0%6.0¢94.0¢
Steve Feinberg5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
Elbridge Colby5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
Mike Rogers5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
Mike Pompeo5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
Wesley Hunt5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
Mike Waltz3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Bill Hagerty2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Mike Gallagher2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Christopher Miller2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Tom Cotton2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Trae Stephens2.0%2.0¢98.0¢

Market details

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.