Will Trump approve a new city on federal land?

As of Sat, 17 Oct 2026 09:05:12 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jan 20, 2029 (35.0%), Before Jan 1, 2028 (16.0%). The market has $6K in volume and closes on Sat, 20 Jan 2029.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Before Jan 20, 202935.0%35.0¢65.0¢
Before Jan 1, 202816.0%16.0¢84.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Jan 20, 2029:

If a new city is created or chartered on federal land after Issuance and before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

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