California 48 House General Election: voter turnout
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 18:57:52 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 170K (94.0%), Above 178K (89.0%), Above 186K (83.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Wed, 03 Nov 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 170K | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| Above 178K | 89.0% | 89.0¢ | 11.0¢ |
| Above 186K | 83.0% | 83.0¢ | 17.0¢ |
| Above 195K | 75.0% | 75.0¢ | 25.0¢ |
| Above 200K | 69.0% | 69.0¢ | 31.0¢ |
| Above 205K | 64.0% | 64.0¢ | 36.0¢ |
| Above 210K | 58.0% | 58.0¢ | 42.0¢ |
| Above 215K | 53.0% | 53.0¢ | 47.0¢ |
| Above 220K | 47.0% | 47.0¢ | 53.0¢ |
| Above 225K | 42.0% | 42.0¢ | 58.0¢ |
| Above 230K | 37.0% | 37.0¢ | 63.0¢ |
| Above 235K | 33.0% | 33.0¢ | 67.0¢ |
| Above 240K | 29.0% | 29.0¢ | 71.0¢ |
| Above 255K | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
| Above 276K | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $3K
- Liquidity: $3K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 170K:
If the total vote count for all participants in California 48 House General Election is above 170000, then the market resolves to Yes. The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled, all contracts resolve to No.
Sources
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