California 36 House General Election: voter turnout

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:59 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 220K (94.0%), Above 240K (87.0%), Above 260K (76.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Wed, 03 Nov 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 220K94.0%94.0¢6.0¢
Above 240K87.0%87.0¢13.0¢
Above 260K76.0%76.0¢24.0¢
Above 270K69.0%69.0¢31.0¢
Above 280K62.0%62.0¢38.0¢
Above 290K54.0%54.0¢46.0¢
Above 310K40.0%40.0¢60.0¢
Above 330K27.0%27.0¢73.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 220K:

If the total vote count for all participants in California 36 House General Election is above 220000, then the market resolves to Yes. The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled, all contracts resolve to No.

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.