Arizona 01 House General Election: voter turnout

As of Tue, 03 Nov 2026 13:24:34 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 260K (94.0%), Above 280K (90.0%), Above 300K (85.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Wed, 03 Nov 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 260K94.0%94.0¢6.0¢
Above 280K90.0%90.0¢10.0¢
Above 300K85.0%85.0¢15.0¢
Above 320K79.0%79.0¢21.0¢
Above 340K73.0%73.0¢27.0¢
Above 350K71.0%71.0¢29.0¢
Above 345K71.0%71.0¢29.0¢
Above 360K61.0%61.0¢39.0¢
Above 380K44.0%44.0¢56.0¢
Above 410K26.0%26.0¢74.0¢
Above 420K22.0%22.0¢78.0¢
Above 400K22.0%22.0¢78.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 260K:

If the total vote count for all participants in Arizona 01 House General Election is above 260000, then the market resolves to Yes. The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled, all contracts resolve to No.

Sources

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