Who will visit Mar-a-Lago this year?
As of Fri, 02 Oct 2026 08:00:56 UTC, Kalshi traders price Jeff Bezos (29.0%), Ron DeSantis (25.0%), Jensen Huang (25.0%). The market has $81K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Bezos | 29.0% | 29.0¢ | 71.0¢ |
| Ron DeSantis | 25.0% | 25.0¢ | 75.0¢ |
| Jensen Huang | 25.0% | 25.0¢ | 75.0¢ |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 23.0% | 23.0¢ | 77.0¢ |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 22.0% | 22.0¢ | 78.0¢ |
| Mark Zuckerberg | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| Giorgia Meloni | 17.0% | 17.0¢ | 83.0¢ |
| James Fishback | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Xi Jinping | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Vladimir Putin | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Marjorie Taylor Greene | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $81K
- Liquidity: $81K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Jeff Bezos:
If Jeff Bezos has visited Mar-a-Lago after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Reporting will be encompassed by this Payout Criterion even if the reported visit is before Issuance as long as the visit was not previously reported. Reporting also includes reporting on other sources, e.g. if The New York Times report that Bloomberg reported a given person visited, or that Donald Trump said someone has visited, that would also be encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
Sources
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