US labor force participation rate at year-end 2026
As of Tue, 14 Jul 2026 11:47:54 UTC, Kalshi traders price 61.5% to 61.9% (32.0%), 61.0% to 61.4% (32.0%), 60.5% to 60.9% (21.0%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Fri, 15 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61.5% to 61.9% | 32.0% | 32.0¢ | 68.0¢ |
| 61.0% to 61.4% | 32.0% | 32.0¢ | 68.0¢ |
| 60.5% to 60.9% | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
| Below 60.5% | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| 62.0% or Above | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $4K
- Liquidity: $4K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 61.5% to 61.9%:
If the US labor force participation rate for December 2026 is between 61.5% and 61.9%, as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by Trading Economics, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, “year-end 2026” means the December 2026 reference month. The market will resolve based on the first value published for December 2026. Later revisions, corrections, or updates will not affect resolution. If Trading Economics is unavailable or does not publish the relevant December 2026 value, Kalshi may use the corresponding value from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics or FRED series CIVPART.
Sources
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