How high will inflation get this year?
As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 09:18:23 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 4.5% (17.0%), At least 7.0% (12.0%), At least 5.0% (11.0%). The market has $975K in volume and closes on Sun, 14 Feb 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 4.5% | 17.0% | 17.0¢ | 83.0¢ |
| At least 7.0% | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| At least 5.0% | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| At least 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| At least 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| At least 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $975K
- Liquidity: $975K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 4.5%:
If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 4.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
Related markets
- CPI in October
- Core CPI in October
- CPI YoY in November
- Core CPI YoY in November
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- How high will CPI get this year?
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