How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago this month?
As of Tue, 03 Nov 2026 14:22:20 UTC, Kalshi traders price 26NOV (43.0%), 26NOV (26.0%), 5 or more (21.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Tue, 01 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26NOV | 43.0% | 43.0¢ | 57.0¢ |
| 26NOV | 26.0% | 26.0¢ | 74.0¢ |
| 5 or more | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
| 26NOV | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| 26NOV | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| 26NOV | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $3K
- Liquidity: $3K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 5 or more:
If Donald Trump makes exactly 5 or more trips to Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. A single visit begins when Donald Trump arrives in Mar-a-Lago and ends when Donald Trump has left Mar-a-Lago. A visit need not end to be included — i.e., if Nov 2026 ends with Donald Trump still there, that visit counts for the purposes of the count. If Donald Trump is in Mar-a-Lago at the beginning of Nov 2026, that will count as a visit. Multiple separate visits during Nov 2026 count individually.
Sources
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