2027 Governor Combo: which states will Republicans win?
As of Wed, 04 Nov 2026 11:13:44 UTC, Kalshi traders price Republican sweep (29.0%), None (24.0%), Kentucky, Louisiana (22.0%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Thu, 20 Jan 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican sweep | 29.0% | 29.0¢ | 71.0¢ |
| None | 24.0% | 24.0¢ | 76.0¢ |
| Kentucky, Louisiana | 22.0% | 22.0¢ | 78.0¢ |
| Louisiana, Mississippi | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
| Kentucky, Mississippi | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Mississippi only | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Kentucky only | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Louisiana only | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $4K
- Liquidity: $4K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Republican sweep:
If ALL of a Republican candidate in Kentucky's Governor election, a Republican candidate in Louisiana's Governor election, and a Republican candidate in Mississippi's Governor election win their respective elections in the 2027 gubernatorial elections in Kentucky, Louisiana, and Mississippi, using the ultimate winners after any Louisiana general election or Mississippi runoff, then the market resolves to Yes. A Republican candidate is a candidate listed with the Republican Party label on the ballot in the election that decides the winner. Any other winner, including an independent, is a candidate other than a Republican. This market is eligible for accelerated determination two days after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
Sources
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