Which firearm will receive the most votes in Idaho's State Gun advisory question?

As of Fri, 02 Oct 2026 08:28:30 UTC, Kalshi traders price Winchester Model 1873 (.44-40) (58.0%), 1873 Colt Single Action Army Revolver (.45 Colt) (18.0%), Colt M1911 .45 automatic Colt pistol (.45 ACP) (9.0%). The market has $12K in volume and closes on Tue, 03 Nov 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Winchester Model 1873 (.44-40)58.0%58.0¢42.0¢
1873 Colt Single Action Army Revolver (.45 Colt)18.0%18.0¢82.0¢
Colt M1911 .45 automatic Colt pistol (.45 ACP)9.0%9.0¢91.0¢
M1 Garand rifle (.30-06)8.0%8.0¢92.0¢
Winchester Model 1894 (.30-30)7.0%7.0¢93.0¢
Remington Model 700 bolt-action rifle (.30-06)4.0%4.0¢96.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Winchester Model 1873 (.44-40):

If Winchester Model 1873 (.44-40) wins the 2026 Idaho Official State Gun advisory vote, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Sources

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