TX-38 House winner?
As of Sun, 30 Aug 2026 05:14:08 UTC, Kalshi traders price Jon Bonck (96.0%), Melissa McDonough (4.0%). The market has $8K in volume and closes on Mon, 04 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Bonck | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| Melissa McDonough | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $8K
- Liquidity: $8K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Jon Bonck:
If the House member sworn in for TX-38 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Sources
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