PA-11 House winner?

As of Wed, 23 Sep 2026 11:46:56 UTC, Kalshi traders price Lloyd Smucker (96.0%), Nancy Mannion (4.0%). The market has $9K in volume and closes on Mon, 04 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Lloyd Smucker96.0%96.0¢4.0¢
Nancy Mannion4.0%4.0¢96.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Lloyd Smucker:

If the House member sworn in for PA-11 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Sources

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