MA-04 House winner?

As of Fri, 28 Aug 2026 16:30:06 UTC, Kalshi traders price Jake Auchincloss (97.0%), Tom Stalcup (2.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Mon, 04 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Jake Auchincloss97.0%97.0¢3.0¢
Tom Stalcup2.0%2.0¢98.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Jake Auchincloss:

If the House member sworn in for MA-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Sources

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