ID-02 House winner?
As of Sat, 17 Oct 2026 22:00:46 UTC, Kalshi traders price Mike Simpson (94.0%), Elinor Gilbreath (5.0%). The market has $6K in volume and closes on Mon, 04 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Simpson | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| Elinor Gilbreath | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $6K
- Liquidity: $6K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Mike Simpson:
If the House member sworn in for ID-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Sources
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