CA-39 House winner?

As of Thu, 01 Oct 2026 23:35:13 UTC, Kalshi traders price Mark Takano (97.0%), Steve Manos (3.0%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Mon, 04 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Mark Takano97.0%97.0¢3.0¢
Steve Manos3.0%3.0¢97.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Mark Takano:

If the House member sworn in for CA-39 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Sources

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