CA-24 House winner?

As of Tue, 01 Sep 2026 17:38:55 UTC, Kalshi traders price Salud Carbajal (98.0%), Bob Smith (2.0%). The market has $14K in volume and closes on Mon, 04 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Salud Carbajal98.0%98.0¢2.0¢
Bob Smith2.0%2.0¢98.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Salud Carbajal:

If the House member sworn in for CA-24 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Sources

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