AZ-09 House winner?

As of Wed, 16 Sep 2026 17:47:11 UTC, Kalshi traders price Paul Gosar (95.0%), Dani Sterbinsky (3.0%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Mon, 04 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Paul Gosar95.0%95.0¢5.0¢
Dani Sterbinsky3.0%3.0¢97.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Paul Gosar:

If the House member sworn in for AZ-09 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Sources

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