Midterms: House popular vote vs. generic ballot?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:26 UTC, Kalshi traders price R+0.9 to D+0.9 (28.0%), D+1 to D+2.9 (17.0%), R+1 to R+2.9 (15.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Sun, 30 May 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| R+0.9 to D+0.9 | 28.0% | 28.0¢ | 72.0¢ |
| D+1 to D+2.9 | 17.0% | 17.0¢ | 83.0¢ |
| R+1 to R+2.9 | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| R+3 to R+4.9 | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| D+3 to D+4.9 | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| D+7 or more | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| D+5 to D+6.9 | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| R+7 or more | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| R+5 to R+6.9 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $5K
- Liquidity: $5K
- Closes:
Sources
Related markets
- Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
- Blue wave this year?
- Blue tsunami this year?
- 2026: Trump's dream year?
- MN-05 House winner?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.