US retail jobs added this holiday season
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 22:29:07 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 350,000 jobs (54.0%), Above 300,000 jobs (51.0%), Above 400,000 jobs (40.0%). The market has $13K in volume and closes on Fri, 15 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 350,000 jobs | 54.0% | 54.0¢ | 46.0¢ |
| Above 300,000 jobs | 51.0% | 51.0¢ | 49.0¢ |
| Above 400,000 jobs | 40.0% | 40.0¢ | 60.0¢ |
| Above 500,000 jobs | 38.0% | 38.0¢ | 62.0¢ |
| Above 550,000 jobs | 36.0% | 36.0¢ | 64.0¢ |
| Above 600,000 jobs | 36.0% | 36.0¢ | 64.0¢ |
| Above 450,000 jobs | 35.0% | 35.0¢ | 65.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $13K
- Liquidity: $13K
- Closes:
Sources
Related markets
- How high will unemployment get in 2026?
- Unemployment in September
- Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average this year
- Washington professional, scientific, and technical services employment at end of 2026
- Jobs numbers in September 2026?
- Port of New York and New Jersey container volume this year
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.