Will Trump expand the H-1B program?
As of Tue, 01 Sep 2026 17:38:09 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (22.0%). The market has $124K in volume and closes on Sat, 20 Jan 2029.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 22.0% | 22.0¢ | 78.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $124K
- Liquidity: $124K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
If the number of allowable H-1B visas as of Issuance (as of certification, the cap is 65,000 visas and an additional 20,000 for advanced degrees) has been increased after Issuance and before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Increasing the current cap (or eliminating it entirely) or exemption for advanced degrees, or creating new exemptions, would be encompassed by the Payout Criterion. The Payout Criterion also encompasses creating a third kind of H-1B visa other than the normal visa and the exemption for advanced degrees.
Sources
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