Price of NVIDIA H100 SXM compute by end of year?

As of Wed, 09 Sep 2026 06:45:58 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above $3.23 (81.0%), Above $3.38 (81.0%), Above $3.53 (52.0%). The market has $9K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above $3.2381.0%81.0¢19.0¢
Above $3.3881.0%81.0¢19.0¢
Above $3.5352.0%52.0¢48.0¢
Above $3.6849.0%49.0¢51.0¢
Above $3.8335.0%35.0¢65.0¢
Above $3.9822.0%22.0¢78.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above $3.23:

If the value of H100 SXM compute per hour is above $3.23 by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the value of H100 SXM compute per hour as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for. The "USD" iteration of the index will be used unless explicitly stated otherwise. If no data is available for the time period by the Expiration Date, all strikes excluding "No data" or "None" resolve to No. Values are rounded to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.

Sources

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