Grocery inflation at the end of 2026?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 1.0% (93.0%), Above 1.5% (75.0%), Above 2.0% (61.0%). The market has $7K in volume and closes on Wed, 20 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1.0% | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| Above 1.5% | 75.0% | 75.0¢ | 25.0¢ |
| Above 2.0% | 61.0% | 61.0¢ | 39.0¢ |
| Above 2.5% | 51.0% | 51.0¢ | 49.0¢ |
| Above 3.0% | 32.0% | 32.0¢ | 68.0¢ |
| Above 3.5% | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $7K
- Liquidity: $7K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 1.0%:
If U.S. grocery inflation for December 2026, measured by the year-over-year percentage change in the CPI Food at home index, is above 1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. The underlying is the unadjusted 12-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), U.S. city average, for “Food at home,” as first published by BLS for December 2026. The published percentage change will be used directly, without recalculating it from index levels. Subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.
Sources
Related markets
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- CPI in September
- How high will inflation get this year?
- CPI in October
- Core CPI in October
- CPI YoY in November
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