Will FERC move to break up PJM this year?

As of Wed, 02 Sep 2026 17:01:29 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (11.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Yes11.0%11.0¢89.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

If the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) announces a decision to pursue the division of PJM Interconnection into two or more independently governed regional grid operators before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The decision must be adopted by the Commission, identify division as FERC’s proposed course of action, and direct PJM, Commission staff, or stakeholders to develop or submit a breakup plan. Final approval and implementation are not required. Requests for comment, proceedings that merely consider division, and statements by individual commissioners do not qualify.

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