How many government employees will Trump cut?
As of Sat, 17 Oct 2026 13:54:58 UTC, Kalshi traders price More than 100,000 (11.0%), More than 150,000 (8.0%), More than 250,000 (8.0%). The market has $23K in volume and closes on Thu, 04 Mar 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| More than 100,000 | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| More than 150,000 | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| More than 250,000 | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| More than 200,000 | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| More than 300,000 | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| More than 350,000 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $23K
- Liquidity: $23K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for More than 100,000:
If there are more than 100000 federal employees no longer working relative to the December 2025 employee count before January 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. At the time of issuance, 2.738 Million Federal Employees are reported for the December 2025 figure.
Sources
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