State of the economy at the end of 2026
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 21:58:06 UTC, Kalshi traders price Overheating (65.0%), Soft landing (31.0%), Stagflation (2.0%). The market has $123K in volume and closes on Wed, 13 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overheating | 65.0% | 65.0¢ | 35.0¢ |
| Soft landing | 31.0% | 31.0¢ | 69.0¢ |
| Stagflation | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Slack / disinflation | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $123K
- Liquidity: $123K
- Closes:
Sources
Related markets
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- CPI in September
- How high will inflation get this year?
- How high will unemployment get in 2026?
- CPI in October
- Core CPI in October
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