How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
As of Sat, 07 Nov 2026 03:45:41 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 249 (98.7%), 234-237 (0.3%), Below 210 (0.3%). The market has $10.7M in volume and closes on Mon, 01 Feb 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 249 | 98.7% | 98.7¢ | 1.3¢ |
| 234-237 | 0.3% | 0.3¢ | 99.7¢ |
| Below 210 | 0.3% | 0.3¢ | 99.7¢ |
| 242-245 | 0.2% | 0.2¢ | 99.8¢ |
| 210-213 | 0.2% | 0.2¢ | 99.8¢ |
| 246-249 | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ |
| 226-229 | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ |
| 222-225 | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ |
| 214-217 | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ |
| 218-221 | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ |
| 238-241 | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ |
| 230-233 | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $10.7M
- Liquidity: $10.7M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 249:
If the Democratic party has above 249 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Individuals caucusing with the Democrats will be included.
Sources
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