Deportations this year?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 05:17:58 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 400,000 (98.0%), Above 200,000 (98.0%), Above 300,000 (97.0%). The market has $175K in volume and closes on Thu, 01 Apr 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 400,000 | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| Above 200,000 | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| Above 300,000 | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| Above 425,000 | 91.0% | 91.0¢ | 9.0¢ |
| Above 450,000 | 42.0% | 42.0¢ | 58.0¢ |
| Above 500,000 | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| Above 600,000 | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $175K
- Liquidity: $175K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 400,000:
If the number of ICE removals is above 400,000 in FY2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market will resolve once complete data is available for FY2026.
Sources
Related markets
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Who will leave their role in the Trump administration this year?
- Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
- Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.