Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US this year?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 22:47:23 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 14k (99.0%), Above 18k (98.0%), Above 8k (98.0%). The market has $43K in volume and closes on Fri, 08 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 14k | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 18k | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| Above 8k | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| Above 16k | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| Above 10k | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| Above 4k | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| Above 6k | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| Above 20k | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| Above 12k | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| Above 22k | 89.0% | 89.0¢ | 11.0¢ |
| Above 24k | 76.0% | 76.0¢ | 24.0¢ |
| Above 26k | 67.0% | 67.0¢ | 33.0¢ |
| Above 28k | 59.0% | 59.0¢ | 41.0¢ |
| Above 32k | 42.0% | 42.0¢ | 58.0¢ |
| Above 30k | 38.0% | 38.0¢ | 62.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $43K
- Liquidity: $43K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 14k:
If the total number of Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the United States during 2026 is above 14000, then the market resolves to Yes. Cases are determined at 10:00 AM ET on the Expiration Date (January 8). Cases that actually occur between the end of the specified time period and Expiration do not count, but newly reported cases during this window do count if they are backdated to 2026. See the full rules for how Source Agencies are prioritized.
Sources
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