Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in November
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:58 UTC, Kalshi traders price Cut 1-25bps (85.0%), Maintain current rate (11.0%), Cut more than 25bps (5.0%). The market has $7K in volume and closes on Thu, 05 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cut 1-25bps | 85.0% | 85.0¢ | 15.0¢ |
| Maintain current rate | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| Cut more than 25bps | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Hike 1-25bps | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Hike more than 25bps | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $7K
- Liquidity: $7K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Cut 1-25bps:
If the Central Bank of Brazil takes the action of cut 1-25bps at the November Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "Maintain current rate" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
Sources
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