How high will Brazil inflation get this year?

As of Thu, 17 Sep 2026 13:01:33 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 4.75% (85.0%), Above 5.00% (48.0%), Above 5.25% (11.0%). The market has $21K in volume and closes on Fri, 08 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 4.75%85.0%85.0¢15.0¢
Above 5.00%48.0%48.0¢52.0¢
Above 5.25%11.0%11.0¢89.0¢
Above 5.50%4.0%4.0¢96.0¢
Above 6.25%3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Above 6.50%3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Above 6.00%3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Above 5.75%3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Above 7.00%1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Above 6.75%1.0%1.0¢99.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 4.75%:

If any Brazil annual inflation rate print is above 4.75% before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

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