Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?

As of Sat, 17 Oct 2026 09:05:38 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Apr 1, 2028 (55.0%), Before Jan 1, 2028 (52.0%), Before Jul 1, 2027 (16.0%). The market has $34K in volume and closes on Sat, 01 Apr 2028.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Before Apr 1, 202855.0%55.0¢45.0¢
Before Jan 1, 202852.0%52.0¢48.0¢
Before Jul 1, 202716.0%16.0¢84.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Apr 1, 2028:

If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez runs for Senate in 2028 before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Note: FEC filings alone do not resolve this market to Yes.

Sources

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