Will the US government rescind the Anthropic ban?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 22:29:09 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Apr 1, 2027 (41.0%), Before Jan 1, 2027 (39.0%). The market has $12K in volume and closes on Wed, 02 Jun 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 41.0% | 41.0¢ | 59.0¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 39.0% | 39.0¢ | 61.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $12K
- Liquidity: $12K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Apr 1, 2027:
If the Department of Defense or the White House announces an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation or phaseout directive applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit federal government or Department of Defense use of Anthropic's AI models or services before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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