How much will be spent on political ads in the 2026 cycle?

As of Tue, 03 Nov 2026 13:24:33 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 11 billion dollars (90.0%), Above 11.25 billion dollars (88.0%), Above 11.5 billion dollars (86.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Sun, 02 May 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 11 billion dollars90.0%90.0¢10.0¢
Above 11.25 billion dollars88.0%88.0¢12.0¢
Above 11.5 billion dollars86.0%86.0¢14.0¢
Above 11.75 billion dollars65.0%65.0¢35.0¢
Above 12 billion dollars49.0%49.0¢51.0¢
Above 12.25 billion dollars32.0%32.0¢68.0¢
Above 12.5 billion dollars16.0%16.0¢84.0¢

Market details

Sources

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