ADP employment change this month?
As of Tue, 29 Sep 2026 19:10:08 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above -25000 (98.0%), Above 0 (97.0%), Above 25000 (84.0%). The market has $6K in volume and closes on Wed, 30 Sep 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above -25000 | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| Above 0 | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| Above 25000 | 84.0% | 84.0¢ | 16.0¢ |
| Above 50000 | 72.0% | 72.0¢ | 28.0¢ |
| Above 100000 | 54.0% | 54.0¢ | 46.0¢ |
| Above 75000 | 45.0% | 45.0¢ | 55.0¢ |
| Above 125000 | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $6K
- Liquidity: $6K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above -25000:
If the ADP Employment Change in Sep 2026 is above -25000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
Related markets
- How high will unemployment get in 2026?
- Unemployment in September
- Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average this year
- Washington professional, scientific, and technical services employment at end of 2026
- Jobs numbers in September 2026?
- Port of New York and New Jersey container volume this year
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.