How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get this month?

As of Tue, 03 Nov 2026 14:19:48 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.83% or below (96.0%), 4.81% or below (95.0%), 4.82% or below (95.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Mon, 30 Nov 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
4.83% or below96.0%96.0¢4.0¢
4.81% or below95.0%95.0¢5.0¢
4.82% or below95.0%95.0¢5.0¢
4.8% or below93.0%93.0¢7.0¢
4.79% or below92.0%92.0¢8.0¢
4.78% or below90.0%90.0¢10.0¢
4.77% or below89.0%89.0¢11.0¢
4.74% or below88.0%88.0¢12.0¢
4.76% or below86.0%86.0¢14.0¢
4.73% or below85.0%85.0¢15.0¢
4.72% or below83.0%83.0¢17.0¢
4.75% or below83.0%83.0¢17.0¢
4.71% or below81.0%81.0¢19.0¢
4.69% or below81.0%81.0¢19.0¢
4.7% or below78.0%78.0¢22.0¢

Market details

Sources

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