2027 Toyota 4Runner starting MSRP

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:54 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above $42,000 (88.0%), Above $42,500 (65.0%), Above $43,000 (13.0%). The market has $11K in volume and closes on Thu, 01 Apr 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above $42,00088.0%88.0¢12.0¢
Above $42,50065.0%65.0¢35.0¢
Above $43,00013.0%13.0¢87.0¢
Above $43,5007.0%7.0¢93.0¢
Above $44,0005.0%5.0¢95.0¢
Above $44,5004.0%4.0¢96.0¢
Above $45,5003.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Above $46,0003.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Above $45,0003.0%3.0¢97.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above $42,000:

If Toyota’s first official, non-preliminary U.S. starting MSRP for the 2027 Toyota 4Runner, published after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, is above $42,000, then the market resolves to Yes. Starting MSRP means the manufacturer-published price for the model’s lowest-priced U.S. retail configuration across trims, cab styles, bed lengths, and drivetrains, explicitly identified as “Starting MSRP” or “Base MSRP” on its official U.S. model page, pricing announcement, or price sheet. Pricing for higher-priced configurations alone does not qualify. Prices are in USD, excluding destination/delivery charges, duties, taxes, registration, dealer fees or markups, and optional equipment, and without applying rebates, incentives, tax credits, or discounts. The event will close and resolve upon qualifying publication, without waiting until the announcement cutoff. Later price changes, corrections, and revisions are ignored. Estimates, third-party prices, and prices for other model years do not qualify. If no qualifying price is published within the specified window, all markets resolve No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Toyota. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

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