7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 23, 2026?
As of Fri, 23 Oct 2026 18:08:36 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.86% or above (93.0%), 4.88% or above (80.0%), 4.9% or above (53.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Fri, 23 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.86% or above | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| 4.88% or above | 80.0% | 80.0¢ | 20.0¢ |
| 4.9% or above | 53.0% | 53.0¢ | 47.0¢ |
| 4.96% or above | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| 4.94% or above | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| 4.92% or above | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| 4.98% or above | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| 5% or above | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| 5.02% or above | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| 5.06% or above | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 5.1% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 5.08% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 5.12% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 5.14% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 5.04% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $3K
- Liquidity: $3K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.96% or above:
If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.95% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 23, 2026, or one week following Oct 23, 2026.
Sources
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