Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.60% on Nov 5, 2026?
As of Thu, 05 Nov 2026 19:44:50 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.61% or above (99.0%), 4.51% or above (99.0%), 4.63% or above (99.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Thu, 05 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.61% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.51% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.63% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.53% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.65% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.57% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.59% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.55% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.71% or above | 66.0% | 66.0¢ | 34.0¢ |
| 4.67% or above | 60.0% | 60.0¢ | 40.0¢ |
| 4.69% or above | 52.0% | 52.0¢ | 48.0¢ |
| 4.73% or above | 31.0% | 31.0¢ | 69.0¢ |
| 4.77% or above | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| 4.81% or above | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| 4.75% or above | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.61% or above:
If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.60% on Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 5, 2026, or one week following Nov 5, 2026.
Sources
Related markets
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?
- Dow Jones price: At least 51,075 November 5, 2026 at 4pm ET
- S&P close price end of 2026?
- Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.