7Y US Treasury yield on Nov 4, 2026?
As of Wed, 04 Nov 2026 16:48:10 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.66% or above (99.0%), 4.68% or above (99.0%), 4.7% or above (99.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Wed, 04 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.66% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.68% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.7% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.72% or above | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 4.74% or above | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| 4.76% or above | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| 4.78% or above | 66.0% | 66.0¢ | 34.0¢ |
| 4.82% or above | 48.0% | 48.0¢ | 52.0¢ |
| 4.8% or above | 31.0% | 31.0¢ | 69.0¢ |
| 4.84% or above | 22.0% | 22.0¢ | 78.0¢ |
| 4.86% or above | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
| 4.88% or above | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| 4.92% or above | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 4.9% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 4.94% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.66% or above:
If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.65% on Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 4, 2026, or one week following Nov 4, 2026.
Sources
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