7Y US Treasury yield on Nov 3, 2026?
As of Tue, 03 Nov 2026 16:33:45 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.68% or above (99.0%), 4.66% or above (98.0%), 4.7% or above (98.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Tue, 03 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.68% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.66% or above | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 4.7% or above | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 4.72% or above | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| 4.74% or above | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| 4.76% or above | 91.0% | 91.0¢ | 9.0¢ |
| 4.78% or above | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| 4.8% or above | 84.0% | 84.0¢ | 16.0¢ |
| 4.82% or above | 68.0% | 68.0¢ | 32.0¢ |
| 4.84% or above | 57.0% | 57.0¢ | 43.0¢ |
| 4.86% or above | 29.0% | 29.0¢ | 71.0¢ |
| 4.88% or above | 25.0% | 25.0¢ | 75.0¢ |
| 4.9% or above | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| 4.92% or above | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| 4.94% or above | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.8% or above:
If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.79% on Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 3, 2026, or one week following Nov 3, 2026.
Sources
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