7Y US Treasury yield on Friday?
As of Wed, 28 Oct 2026 17:09:16 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.71% or above (96.0%), 4.73% or above (94.0%), 4.77% or above (93.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Fri, 30 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.71% or above | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| 4.73% or above | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| 4.77% or above | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| 4.85% or above | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| 4.75% or above | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| 4.79% or above | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| 4.81% or above | 87.0% | 87.0¢ | 13.0¢ |
| 4.87% or above | 86.0% | 86.0¢ | 14.0¢ |
| 4.83% or above | 85.0% | 85.0¢ | 15.0¢ |
| 4.89% or above | 82.0% | 82.0¢ | 18.0¢ |
| 4.91% or above | 73.0% | 73.0¢ | 27.0¢ |
| 4.93% or above | 62.0% | 62.0¢ | 38.0¢ |
| 4.95% or above | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| 4.97% or above | 39.0% | 39.0¢ | 61.0¢ |
| 4.99% or above | 29.0% | 29.0¢ | 71.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.73% or above:
If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.72% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.
Sources
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