5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 26, 2026?
As of Mon, 26 Oct 2026 18:41:42 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.66% or above (99.0%), 4.7% or above (99.0%), 4.72% or above (99.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Mon, 26 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.66% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.7% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.72% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.76% or above | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 4.68% or above | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 4.78% or above | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 4.74% or above | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 4.8% or above | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| 4.82% or above | 78.0% | 78.0¢ | 22.0¢ |
| 4.84% or above | 24.0% | 24.0¢ | 76.0¢ |
| 4.86% or above | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| 4.9% or above | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| 4.94% or above | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 4.92% or above | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 4.88% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.86% or above:
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.85% on Oct 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 26, 2026, or one week following Oct 26, 2026.
Sources
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