5Y US Treasury yield on Nov 4, 2026?
As of Wed, 04 Nov 2026 15:52:58 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.56% or above (99.0%), 4.58% or above (99.0%), 4.6% or above (98.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Wed, 04 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.56% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.58% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.6% or above | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 4.62% or above | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| 4.64% or above | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| 4.66% or above | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| 4.68% or above | 85.0% | 85.0¢ | 15.0¢ |
| 4.7% or above | 78.0% | 78.0¢ | 22.0¢ |
| 4.72% or above | 57.0% | 57.0¢ | 43.0¢ |
| 4.74% or above | 38.0% | 38.0¢ | 62.0¢ |
| 4.76% or above | 22.0% | 22.0¢ | 78.0¢ |
| 4.8% or above | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| 4.78% or above | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| 4.82% or above | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| 4.84% or above | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $3K
- Liquidity: $3K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.56% or above:
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.55% on Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 4, 2026, or one week following Nov 4, 2026.
Sources
Related markets
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?
- S&P close price end of 2026?
- Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay this year?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.