5Y US Treasury yield on Friday?
As of Wed, 28 Oct 2026 16:54:43 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.66% or above (96.0%), 4.68% or above (93.0%), 4.7% or above (91.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Fri, 30 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.66% or above | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| 4.68% or above | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| 4.7% or above | 91.0% | 91.0¢ | 9.0¢ |
| 4.78% or above | 90.0% | 90.0¢ | 10.0¢ |
| 4.72% or above | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| 4.74% or above | 86.0% | 86.0¢ | 14.0¢ |
| 4.8% or above | 85.0% | 85.0¢ | 15.0¢ |
| 4.76% or above | 84.0% | 84.0¢ | 16.0¢ |
| 4.82% or above | 79.0% | 79.0¢ | 21.0¢ |
| 4.84% or above | 71.0% | 71.0¢ | 29.0¢ |
| 4.86% or above | 63.0% | 63.0¢ | 37.0¢ |
| 4.88% or above | 54.0% | 54.0¢ | 46.0¢ |
| 4.9% or above | 43.0% | 43.0¢ | 57.0¢ |
| 4.92% or above | 34.0% | 34.0¢ | 66.0¢ |
| 4.94% or above | 26.0% | 26.0¢ | 74.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.72% or above:
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.71% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.
Sources
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