30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?

As of Thu, 29 Oct 2026 07:36:20 UTC, Kalshi traders price 5.42% or above (97.0%), 5.38% or above (97.0%), 5.4% or above (51.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Fri, 30 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
5.42% or above97.0%97.0¢3.0¢
5.38% or above97.0%97.0¢3.0¢
5.4% or above51.0%51.0¢49.0¢
5.34% or above50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
5.3% or above50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
5.32% or above50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
5.36% or above50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
5.16% or above20.0%20.0¢80.0¢
5.44% or above14.0%14.0¢86.0¢
5.2% or above3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
5.24% or above3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
5.26% or above3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
5.18% or above3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
5.22% or above3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
5.28% or above3.0%3.0¢97.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 5.42% or above:

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.41% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.

Sources

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