30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 29, 2026?

As of Thu, 29 Oct 2026 18:19:57 UTC, Kalshi traders price 5.26% or above (99.0%), 5.28% or above (99.0%), 5.16% or above (98.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Thu, 29 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
5.26% or above99.0%99.0¢1.0¢
5.28% or above99.0%99.0¢1.0¢
5.16% or above98.0%98.0¢2.0¢
5.18% or above98.0%98.0¢2.0¢
5.2% or above96.0%96.0¢4.0¢
5.22% or above93.0%93.0¢7.0¢
5.24% or above87.0%87.0¢13.0¢
5.3% or above70.0%70.0¢30.0¢
5.32% or above38.0%38.0¢62.0¢
5.34% or above30.0%30.0¢70.0¢
5.36% or above29.0%29.0¢71.0¢
5.38% or above20.0%20.0¢80.0¢
5.4% or above12.0%12.0¢88.0¢
5.42% or above6.0%6.0¢94.0¢
5.44% or above3.0%3.0¢97.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 5.36% or above:

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.35% on Oct 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 29, 2026, or one week following Oct 29, 2026.

Sources

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