30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 23, 2026?
As of Fri, 23 Oct 2026 18:49:33 UTC, Kalshi traders price 5.15% or above (99.0%), 5.17% or above (99.0%), 5.11% or above (99.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Fri, 23 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.15% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 5.17% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 5.11% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 5.23% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 5.25% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 5.27% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 5.19% or above | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 5.29% or above | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| 5.13% or above | 90.0% | 90.0¢ | 10.0¢ |
| 5.21% or above | 90.0% | 90.0¢ | 10.0¢ |
| 5.31% or above | 70.0% | 70.0¢ | 30.0¢ |
| 5.35% or above | 17.0% | 17.0¢ | 83.0¢ |
| 5.33% or above | 17.0% | 17.0¢ | 83.0¢ |
| 5.49% or above | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| 5.39% or above | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $5K
- Liquidity: $5K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 5.15% or above:
If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.14% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 23, 2026, or one week following Oct 23, 2026.
Sources
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